
Environmental Factors of Waste Tire Pyrolysis Final Report
Sensitivity to Carbon Black Sales
The market survey in Section 6 indicated that char from PGL processes usually is not of a quality
sufficient over the long-term to command high sales prices, except under some special conditions, and
that limited viable markets exist for solid carbon products. The results of the sensitivity analysis
presented previously demonstrate the sensitivity of project economics to carbon product revenues.
Consequently, additional sensitivity analyses were conducted on the effect of carbon black sales on the
economics of tire pyrolysis projects.
The effect of variations in carbon black sales price is presented in Figure 7-3, and the effect of variations
in percent of carbon black sold, in Figure 7-4. In both cases, the results are presented for three tire tip
fees -- $1.00, $0.80, and $0.60/tire. The analyses also assume that product revenues from the other
three products (char, fuel oil, and steel) are constant at the levels assumed for the baseline scenario.
As shown in Figure 7-3, at a tip fee of $0.80/tire, the profitability of the project ranges from -20 percent if
the carbon black is sold for $0.026/lb to +20 percent if the product is sold for $0.23/lb. The analysis
assumes that 75 percent of the carbon black is sold. At a tip fee of $1.00/tire, the likelihood of a profitable
project is greater.
The data in Figure 7-4 demonstrate that project economics are also very sensitive to the percentage of
the carbon black that is sold. The analysis assumes a selling price of $0.128/lb. At a tip fee of $0.80/tire,
the project is profitable if greater than 75 percent of the product is sold. If the tip fee is increased to
$1.00/tire, the project becomes profitable when about 40 percent of the product is sold.
Summary
The economics of tire pyrolysis projects are difficult to project with reasonable accuracy because of the
lack of history for commercially viable operations. Nevertheless, the analyses conducted as part of this
study indicate that the projects are particularly sensitive to three variables: tire tip fee, O&M costs, and
product revenues. Recognizing that the tip fee cannot be set at an amount greater than what is being
charged at other facilities, and also that O&M costs will likely remain high (due to the type of process and
typical processing rates at tire pyrolysis facilities), it becomes evident that product revenues are critical to
the viability of a tire pyrolysis project. Based on the uncertainty of markets for the products (as discussed
in Section 6), it becomes clear that emphasis must be placed on the production of high quality products
and the development of markets for those products.
July 1995
7-14 CalRecovery, Inc.