Non-financial performance indicators
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Non-financial performance indicators Chapter 10
Assessing the risk of failure
There are a number of ways of assessing
the likelihood of failure.
Analysis of the company accounts to •
identify problems relating to key ratios.
Other information in the published •
accounts.
Information in the chairman’s report and •
the directors’ report.
Information in the press.•
Information about environmental or •
external matters.
Use of corporate failure prediction •
models.
Quantitative models e.g. – Z score
model. A ratio devised by Robert Altman
to describe the financial health of a
company, and its likelihood of financial
distress.
Qualitative models e.g. Argenti. –
Altmans Zscore
Z score = 1.2X1+ 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 +
1.0X5
Where:
X1 = working capital/total assets (liquidity)
X2 = retained earnings/total assets (gearing)
X3 = earnings before interest and tax/total
assets (productivity of assets)
X4 = market value of equity/total liabilities
(equity decline before insolvency)
X5 = sales/total assets (ability of assets to
generate revenue)